Serie A
How to read this table
💡 Results vs. Margins: Elo measures raw wins/losses and opponent difficulty, while Topside heavily weights goal differential. Teams at the top are winning tight, gritty matches against tough opponents. Teams at the bottom are blowing out weaker teams but dropping points in close games.
| Rank | Team | Gap | Model Gap & Bias | Topside Rank | Elo Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lecce
US Lecce
|
Elo +4 | Elo Favored (+4) | 19 | 15 |
| 2 |
Cagliari
Cagliari Calcio
|
Elo +3 | Elo Favored (+3) | 12 | 9 |
| 3 |
Lazio
SS Lazio
|
Elo +3 | Elo Favored (+3) | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Bologna
Bologna FC 1909
|
Elo +2 | Elo Favored (+2) | 9 | 7 |
| 5 |
Milan
AC Milan
|
Elo +1 | Elo Favored (+1) | 5 | 4 |
| 6 |
Torino
Torino FC
|
Elo +1 | Elo Favored (+1) | 11 | 10 |
| 7 |
Fiorentina
ACF Fiorentina
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 14 | 14 |
| 8 |
Atalanta
Atalanta BC
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 13 | 13 |
| 9 |
Frosinone
Frosinone Calcio
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 6 | 6 |
| 10 |
Juventus
Juventus FC
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 8 | 8 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
US Sassuolo Calcio
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 17 | 17 |
| 12 |
Udinese
Udinese Calcio
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 20 | 20 |
| 13 |
Como 1907
Como 1907
|
Topside +1 | Topside Favored (+1) | 2 | 3 |
| 14 |
Inter
FC Internazionale Milano
|
Topside +1 | Topside Favored (+1) | 1 | 2 |
| 15 |
Genoa
Genoa CFC
|
Topside +1 | Topside Favored (+1) | 10 | 11 |
| 16 |
Parma
Parma Calcio 1913
|
Topside +1 | Topside Favored (+1) | 15 | 16 |
| 17 |
Venezia FC
Venezia FC
|
Topside +1 | Topside Favored (+1) | 18 | 19 |
| 18 |
Monza
AC Monza
|
Topside +2 | Topside Favored (+2) | 16 | 18 |
| 19 |
Roma
AS Roma
|
Topside +2 | Topside Favored (+2) | 3 | 5 |
| 20 |
Napoli
SSC Napoli
|
Topside +5 | Topside Favored (+5) | 7 | 12 |
Tap a row for Topside / Elo ranks & details